Next Chinese IPO: E-House Holdings
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China residential real estate service company, E-House Holdings, is scheduled to debut on NYSE today under symbol EJ. From the company website, E-House’s business includes “real estate agency services, secondary real estate brokerage services and real estate consulting and information services.” Based in Shanghai, China’s financial capital, E-House employs more than 1800 real estate brokers and has branches in 20 cities. According to IPOHome.com,
Its principal source of revenue is primary real estate agency services (82% of 2006 revenue), where it provides comprehensive marketing and sale services of new properties for real estate developers. In 2006, it sold nearly 2 million square meters of development property for just over $2 billion with an average commission rate of 2.2%. Additionally, E-House recently expanded into brokering secondary real estate transactions and provides consulting and information services to real estate firms across China.
If China’s economy is considered as hot (11.9% GDP growth in the second quarter of 2007), then its real estate market is even hotter. I remember 20 years ago in China, everybody who had a job could eventually get an apartment (big or small depending on the service year and job title) with no or very small cost as part of the benefits for working for the state. Not any more.
According to Reuters IPO View, Chinese real estate price has grown 26% nationwide, with major cities seeing a rise of 30% or more. However, the skyrocketing price has made owning their own house/apartment a “dream” to many people living on salaries. Shanghai’s per capita GDP is $6,200, yet the price per square meter (about 10 square feet) in Shanghai could reach RMB12,000 (about $1,600), which is still at the low end. To cool the red hot real estate market, the government has introduced measures to curb investments in real estate and tighten regulations on lending. Interest rate is also expected to rise further in an effort to slow down the economy, which could hurt the housing market. As noted in the Reuters report, “real estate in China cannot continue to grow at its current pace forever.”
Despite E-House’s leading position in some areas, the company isn’t the dominate force in real estate services in China and is facing challenges from competitors, such as Century 21 and Coldwell Banker. For E-House, IPOHome warms investors for potential risks of the company, including
- The company’s cash inflow has significantly lagged its reported net income.
- The firm’s top ten clients accounted for 48% of its 2006 revenue.
Nonetheless, China’s 1.3 billion population needs affordable housing and real estate is one area that has lots of growth potentials.
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Actually, the fact that housing is just a dream is probably true in many asian countries since house price and salary are not in line at all.
I wonder if China real estate will take a hit after 2008 Olympics though. Honestly, I’m a little afraid of everything China once the 2008 Olympics is true. I see the situation as similar to the US market before Y2K when everything related to technology was going up, everyone is talking about Y2K etc etc.
I would say be careful Sun… I’m sure China stocks has made you A LOT of money these few years but I caution you to reduce your risk in the coming months.
I think there will be a little bit of shakeout in the Chinese economy after the Olympics, but there may even be some other problems unless they can get some quality control across the board on their exports. I’m E-House will do fine with its NYSE listing and even with their business as long as Chinese mortgage companies refrain from making the same mistakes the US lending institutions made.